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发表于 2021-1-17 15:42:06
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本帖最后由 顾汉现 于 2021-3-21 18:40 编辑
2021-1-12 再增写:
全世界新冠病毒肺炎解除、最快在今年夏季的21-7-22前后
全世界新冠病毒肺炎疫情的解除:1.最快在今年夏季的2021年7月22日前后:第一位的条件:从今天21-1-12算起、半年内即六个月内、在2021-7-11前后为止全球生产、注射使用大约100亿剂新冠病毒疫苗。第二、继续做好、执行好、比现在做的更好一点的、新冠病毒肺炎预防治疗三大原则工作:1.隔离传染病源,2.切断传播途径,3.保护弱体人群(最主要为、注射使用好新冠病毒疫苗)。2.中等度快,并且也算是目前一般学术界、政治经济界的预测:到明年即2022年夏季的7月23日前后、全世界新冠病毒肺炎疫情解除。 3.不快,也就是慢、到后年即2023年夏季的7月23日前后、全球新冠病毒肺炎疫情解除。
全世界新冠病毒肺炎疫情延绵、不能解除,众多人群将患病以及死亡。还有,全球经济损失也是巨大的,概算平均每月可能高达5千亿美元,一年的损失可能高达6万亿美元之巨。
东京奥运会开幕式定在2021-7-23,会期为21-7-23到8-8。但是2021年的全球新冠病毒肺炎疫情,使得举行变的很困难。互联网上传说,2021年的夏季奥运会将被取消。
这几天我们再三思量和计算:经科学性地努力后,在2021年7月下旬前后,全世界基本上可以控制住、解除新冠病毒肺炎疫情。可以大降人群病亡和经济损失,并使得2021东京奥运会可以如期举行。
2021-1-12写于东京
(Google English translation: )
The world's new crown virus pneumonia is resolved, the fastest around 21-7-22 this summer
Hantao Gu
The elimination of the new crown virus pneumonia epidemic in the world: 1. As soon as this summer, around July 22, 2021: the first condition: starting from today 21-1-12, within six months, within six months, Around July 11, 2021, approximately 10 billion doses of new coronavirus vaccines have been produced and injected worldwide. Second, continue to do well, implement well, and do better than now, the three major principles of prevention and treatment of new crown virus pneumonia: 1. Isolate the source of infectious disease, 2. Cut off the route of transmission, 3. Protect the weak (mostly , Inject and use the new coronavirus vaccine). 2. Moderately fast, and it can be regarded as the current prediction of the general academic and political and economic circles: By next year, that is, around July 23 in the summer of 2022, the world's new crown virus pneumonia epidemic will be eliminated. 3. Unpleasant, that is, slow, the global new crown virus pneumonia epidemic will be lifted around July 23 in the summer of 2023 the next year.
The world's new crown virus pneumonia epidemic is prolonged and cannot be eliminated, and many people will get sick and die. In addition, the global economic loss is also huge. The estimated average monthly cost may be as high as 500 billion US dollars, and the annual loss may be as high as 6 trillion US dollars.
The opening ceremony of the Tokyo Olympics is scheduled for July 23, 2021, and the duration is from 21-7-23 to 8-8. However, the global new crown virus pneumonia epidemic in 2021 has made it very difficult to hold. According to legends on the Internet, the 2021 Summer Olympics will be cancelled.
In the past few days, we have rethought and calculated: After scientific efforts, the world can basically control and eliminate the new crown virus pneumonia epidemic around late July 2021. It can greatly reduce the deaths of people and economic losses, and make the 2021 Tokyo Olympics can be held as scheduled.
2021-1-12 Written in Tokyo
21-1-16 再增写:
摘要来自:
Science头条:新变异毒株或将引发新一波“非常糟糕”的疫情,
《柳叶刀》 等
迅速传播的新冠病毒变异毒株——B.1.1.7。上个月即20年12月,B.1.1.7在英国东南部, 这个新变种的可传播性提高了约70%。 南非的一种叫做501Y.V2的变异毒株同样是危险的,可能因驱动增强,像B.1.1.7一样更容易传播,传播性可能增50%以上。 而且南非发现的501Y.V2变体,它携带的某些突变,包括名为E484K和K417N的突变,会改变其表面蛋白,还可降低单克隆抗体抵抗病毒的能力,提示新冠疫苗预防功效可能将下降。其中E484K突变可将某些供体的恢复期血清的效力降低了10倍,尽管不能凭此说是免疫力下降10倍。另据报导,21-1月12日发布的在巴西免疫力高的马瑙斯地区流行的新冠病毒变异株P.1,已由旅行者携带,从巴西到达日本。 病毒传播的越多,突变体出现的机会就越多。 从长远来看,可能还会出现威胁到新冠病毒疫苗功效的突变。 专业归纳:新冠病毒变异:1.传播增强,2.疫苗功效可能下降。 世界各国要齐心协力加速消除新冠病毒传染疾病。(Hantao Gu 21-1月16日 的 facebook、twitter 短文和两个Science网站连接
Science:https://www.sciencemag.org/news/ ... ave-scientists-warn
Science:https://www.sciencemag.org/news/ ... re-updated-vaccines
迅速传播的新冠病毒变异毒株——B.1.1.7。上个月20-12,B.1.1.7在英国东南部 新变种的可传播性提高了约70%。 南非的一种叫做501Y.V2的变异毒株同样是危险的。 病毒传播的越多,突变体出现的机会就越多。 从长远来看,可能会出现威胁到疫苗功效的突变。(Hantao Gu 21-1月16日 的 facebook、twitter 短文和两个Science网站连接)
2021-1-23再增写:
新冠病毒疫苗已试制成功,要最大规模生产和全世界预防接种
在中国、美国、德国等多国医药学科学家们的努力下,预防效果好、确切、副作用少的新冠病毒疫苗已经试制成功了!并已逐步开始大规模生产了。全世界开明的、有实力的、大爱的,政治家们、金钱家们、联合国、WHO、G20国集团等,齐心协力,加速动用全世界各国现在所有的生产设备,或再适当增加些生产设备,开足马力,最大规模生产,在2021年夏季(约在2021年7月22日前后、力争在2021年东京夏季奥运会、残奥会之前),大约半年内(大约6个月内),全球生产、全世界预防接种、注射100亿剂以上新冠病毒疫苗,并且继续做好、执行好、比现在做的更好一些的、新冠病毒肺炎预防治疗三大原则工作:1.隔离传染病源,2.切断传播途径,3.保护弱体人群(最主要为、注射使用好新冠病毒疫苗),终止新冠病毒肺炎这个人类灾难,消除、解除新冠病毒肺炎全球疫情!
2021年1月23日写于日本东京
补充追加:
日本因要举办2021年东京夏季奥运会和残奥会,国际社会可否给予一些照顾,适当优先供应新冠病毒疫苗,以确保日本早日预防接种新冠病毒疫苗。
(Google English translation: )
The new coronavirus vaccine has been successfully trial-produced, and the largest scale production and worldwide vaccination are required
With the efforts of medical scientists in China, the United States, Germany and other countries, a new coronavirus vaccine with good preventive effect, accurate, and few side effects has been successfully trial-produced! And mass production has gradually begun. The enlightened, powerful, and loving people all over the world, politicians, money makers, the United Nations, WHO, G20, etc., work together to accelerate the use of all current production equipment in countries around the world, or increase production appropriately. Equipment, full power, and the largest production, in the summer of 2021 (around July 22, 2021, and strive to be before the 2021 Tokyo Summer Olympics and Paralympics), within about six months (about 6 months), Global production, worldwide vaccination, injection of more than 10 billion doses of new coronavirus vaccines, and continue to do a good job, implement well, and do better than now, three major principles of prevention and treatment of new coronavirus pneumonia: 1. Isolate the source of infectious diseases, 2. Cut off the route of transmission, 3. Protect the vulnerable people (most importantly, inject and use the new crown virus vaccine), end the human disaster of new crown virus pneumonia, and eliminate and lift the global epidemic of new crown virus pneumonia!
Written in Tokyo, Japan on January 23, 2021
Supplement:
As Japan will host the 2021 Tokyo Summer Olympics and Paralympics, can the international community give some care and give priority to the supply of new coronavirus vaccines to ensure Japan's early vaccination against new coronavirus vaccines?
新冠病毒肺炎简略总结(简单归纳)
2020-10-22 初次写:
HANTAO GU
新冠病毒肺炎等预防治疗三大原则:1.隔离传染病源,2.切断传播途径,3.保护弱体人群。
戴口罩、勤洗手、勤消毒、人距离、避3密:避密闭避密集避密接、减人流动、检测和隔离、医院、吃高蛋白、含碘植、保暖提温、注射新冠疫苗 等。
http://www.kaseisyoji.com/forum. ... amp;extra=#pid95658
(Google English translation: )
A brief summary of the new coronavirus pneumonia(Simple summary)
2020-10-22 First write:
HANTAO GU
Three principles of prevention and treatment of new coronavirus pneumonia: 1. Isolate the source of infectious diseases, 2. cut off the route of transmission, and 3. protect the vulnerable.
Wear masks, wash hands frequently, disinfect frequently, distance between people, avoid close proximity: avoid confinement, avoid crowds, reduce people flow, test and isolate, hospitals, eat high-protein, iodine-containing plants, keep warm, and inject new crown vaccines.
http://www.kaseisyoji.com/forum. ... amp;extra=#pid95658
2021-3-21再增写:
以色列、阿联酋、美国、英国、德国、法国、中国、土耳其、巴西、日本等许多国家逐步开始大规模预防接种新冠病毒疫苗。
(未完,
待续)
(Unfinished,
to be continued)
美国学者认为: (American scholars believe that: )
特効薬なき対コロナ戦争、世界は中国の「覚悟」に学ぶべき (Google English translation: War against Corona without a silver bullet, the world should learn from China's "preparation" 谷歌中文翻译:没有特效药的对新冠的战争,世界应该向中国学习“准备好的” )
THERE WILL BE NO QUICK COVID FIX
2020年12月22日(火)15時45分
ウィリアム・ヘーゼルタイン(感染症専門医、バイオ技術起業家) (Google English translation: William Hazeltine (Infectious Disease Specialist, Biotechnology Entrepreneur 谷歌中文翻译: 威廉·黑泽汀(传染病专家,生物技术企业家))
感染症の抑制には4つの条件が必要だ。政府の指導力、ガバナンス(統治)、社会の連帯、医療戦略である。
(Google English translation: )Four conditions are required to control infectious diseases. Government leadership, governance, social solidarity, and healthcare strategy.Four conditions are required to control infectious diseases. Government leadership, governance, social solidarity, and healthcare strategy.
(谷歌中文翻译: )控制传染病需要四个条件。政府领导,治理,社会团结和医疗策略。
(筆者はアメリカの健康シンクタンク「アクセス・ヘルス・インターナショナル」の会長兼社長)
©Project Syndicate
<2020年12月29日/2021年1月5日号「ISSUES 2021」特集より>
https://www.newsweekjapan.jp/sto ... 12/post-95239_1.php
世界最大出口国(或地区)(1986-2019):
https://twitter.com/i/status/1320553257349992448
:)
回忆录
童年少年青年中年老年 学前幼儿园小学初中工作商店村镇医大学医院日语校东大医会社半独研 胸中有数胸有成竹胸涌澎拜雄心壮志休戚相关休戚与共学以致用循序渐进循循善诱训练有素胸怀祖国放眼世界梦寐以求心潮如涌心潮澎拜栩栩如生前思后想
免疫,日本始用,中国输入借用。 但词义模糊,易误解,理解困难点,范围过广,有点意思不清?免疫 不少情况下可改用 防御 一词为佳?免疫 依部分词义部分改用 防御 为佳?许多情况下,用 防御一词:易懂,直接,直观,词义清晰,有利学生学习,有利科普,有利知识传播。百科:免疫系统是生物体体内一系列的生物学结构和过程所组成的疾病防御系统。免疫 防御。免疫系统 防御系统。本次新冠病毒肺炎,疫苗,用特异性防御,比 特异性免疫 为易懂。
对不起!纠文中误。正确为:5千亿美元/500 billion US dollars.
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