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发表于 2023-5-31 21:37:47
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本帖最后由 顾汉现 于 2023-6-1 10:11 编辑
两年前我曾在脸书上发了一个短文，近日脸书网站给我发来纪念提示，故今再发一次这个短文：
Hantao Gu
2021年4月24日 ·
（東京復康医学研究所（不生癌、不患痴呆、健康寿命百歳研究协会）关联文3： ）
防癌､防痴呆､延寿（200岁无癌无痴呆健康寿命研究）等的漫谈
2019.1.10初稿，2019.2.18第一次修改，2020.1.19第二次修改
预防癌症､预防老年痴呆､延年益寿等方面的漫谈，包括一些防癌复发､治疗癌症及老年痴呆等。
可能分多次谈､逐步增加及补充修改。（初次漫谈： 2019-1-10 13:08:47 ）
2017年，日本人一生生癌的概率约54%，换言之54%日本人一生中会生一次或一次以上的癌症（约一半多一点的日本人会生癌）。一半多，很多啊！
2017年，日本人新生癌者约为101万人，可惜了，现代科学之高精尖部分､可使日本每年新生癌者降到约10万人左右､90%的人可以不生癌､换言之､约90万人可以不生癌！
2017年，日本人超过100岁的已有6万多人。但最高的也只有115岁左右。
全世界最高寿命者为一个法国人，曾活到122岁。
如果他们本人愿意的话，现代科学可使日本今年目前的6万多百岁老人､约半数可活到157岁､最高可活到214岁（应用现代科学之高精尖部分）！并且多数人多数时间能工作或独立生活。世界上不少国家的人也能像日本那样､半数左右可活到157岁､最高214岁。
其实，活到1百岁已不容易，要活到157岁～214岁、多少有点难似上青天了。这是需要努力的，在经费和人力等方面。这是有成本的，故可能刚开始只能面向部分人。在日本，我亲自见过的一个百岁以上老人，在中国及其他国家地区，百岁以上老人一个也没有见过。长寿有家族遗传性､家族倾向性，我母亲方面长寿者较多点，我母亲82足岁，亲舅舅86足岁，伯舅舅（外公兄弟的儿子）95足岁，伯舅母97足岁，难得可贵的是，他们都能独立生活，我母亲能骑自行车，我舅舅能开电瓶车，伯舅舅还能轻农田间劳动､伯舅母能做一般家庭劳动。他们都在上海郊区居住。我衷心祝愿､希望他们活到一百岁以上。
动物的寿命一般是生长期的5倍，人类的生长期是20-25年，故人的寿命约为100-125岁。根据现代科学一般性及高精尖的知识和技术，我们经过研究分析计算核对，认为人的寿命最长可达214岁，已活过100岁的人，约半数人可活到157岁左右（即中位数为157岁）。单单长寿意义还是小的，要的是健康寿命，要能够从事轻脑力或轻体力工作，至少能基本上独立生活。我们在想，杰出的､优秀的科学家､医师､企业家､政治家，等等，他们非常长寿社会意义是较大的，人类社会需要他们继续作贡献，培养他们也真不容易､花了好几十年时间和很多的钱。所以我们认为，大科学家如一些诺贝尔奖获得者、世界顶尖级大学的主任教授、享誉国际的著名科学院工程院院士、世界级的大企业家大慈善家、世界级杰出的政治家，等等，如果他们本人愿意的话，应该设法让他们健康长寿、能从事轻脑力体力工作，生活到157岁左右或以上，让他们继续为人类为社会为世界作贡献。刚开始人数不能太多，可能控制在中老年人口数的1%以下为妥。
健康寿命一般是指不需要医生、护士、家族等人帮助、基本生活自理的寿命。目前日本人男女健康寿命比平均寿命少约10岁，日本人男女平均寿命约84岁、健康寿命少约10岁、大约为74岁。实际上，健康寿命比平均寿命社会意义更大，社会和我们研究人员等更重视、追求更长的健康寿命。以我们拥有的科学知识和技术，1百岁之前健康寿命比平均寿命约少3岁，1百岁到2百多岁间健康寿命比平均寿命约少7岁。
我个人在中国上海的医科大学毕业以后，做了5年的临床医师（病房门诊工作），其间还从事了电生理学等的研究。在日本的大学研究生院医学部门，学习研究治病防病抗衰老等。有一定知识和经验。
为达到人类健康寿命200岁左右的计划，还需要进一步的研究，需要做一些实验等。
由于存在各种成本，某种意义上说，健康和寿命是用金钱卖来的。换言之，不付出些金钱、经济成本，就不会有良好的健康和长命百寿的。
全世界目前大约有74亿人口，出生率大约2%，死亡率大约1%。出生人数多于亡故人数､总人口在逐步增加中。统计常有所变动不太准，属于模糊数学范畴。男女平均大约50岁左右开始进入更年期，开始逐步加速衰老､脑力体力下降而力不从心，罹患各种疾病并有轻重不等各种不快苦楚疼痛症状､而走向死亡。世界男女平均寿命大约为72岁左右（日本人为84岁，中国人为76岁）。这是一个自然规律。中老年起的疾病如各种癌症､高血压､糖尿病､心脏病､中风､老年痴呆等逐步发生并加重，症状逐步明显感觉痛苦､有时甚至生不如死､痛不欲生，直至死亡。医学基础研究和临床应用脱节还是较重的。50岁左右始到80岁左右亡故期间，难于达到心情愉快､无痛无苦､力所能及。要想达到健康长寿也真不容易。有待医药学界的努力和世界国家社会财力保障投入。
世界人口・寿命： （略）
最近，日本每年新生癌者约为101万人，日本每年因癌死亡比例约为1/3，死亡者约为33万人，因癌治疗支出约在10万亿日元以上。中国每年新生癌者约为600多万人，因癌死亡比例约为2/3､约为400多万人（也有报道，2015年，中国有429.2万新发癌症病例和281.4万癌症死亡病例，因癌死亡比例约为2/3，相当于每天有12000人罹患癌症，有7500人因癌去世）。全世界每年约3千多万人新生癌症。这些日本､中国､等 乃至全世界的病人痛苦患癌及死亡是可惜的､可怜的。而老年痴呆，美国最近患者总数约为5百万人，医疗费支出每年约为2千亿美元。
美国老年痴呆症 :（略）
我们研究小团队结论：人类不生癌的研究和不生老年痴呆的研究，约4､5年前的2014年为止基本上已成功了（除了一些细节追加研究以外），接下来主要是应用和推广的事。还有，有一定劳动能力的､100岁以上的健康寿命，也已经基本研究成功了。2014年9月，我们研究小团队提出的､最少研究人员2人起､最低经费3600万日元（约36万美元）起，研究推广应用：科学防癌､健康长寿技术和知识。可以不生癌､得高健康寿命，并可追加､兼做兼顾不生老年痴呆（部分发病基因重叠），到后面仅需10%癌及老年痴呆治疗的经济费用、就可达到90%以上人一生不得癌､不得老年痴呆､并获高健康寿命，可节省约90%以上大量的经费金钱。可是4､5年过去了，政府或财团或富翁等暂不愿意支出这3600万日元（约36万美元），而仅日本一国每年就支付10万亿多日元用于治癌，仅美国就支出2千亿美元治疗老年痴呆，差距十分巨大！
（ 科学防癌､健康长寿规划总的目标 ： （略））
今后的研究，将主要集中精力在这3项（3个方面）：不生癌、不痴呆(几个神经退行性疾病)、健康寿命200岁（足够的医学支持和经济支持、最高约214岁，最低约175岁），量力而为、按部就班地实施推广应用。
在庆祝和纪念这3项研究成功5周年的今年的适当时间，成立： 200岁无癌无痴呆健康寿命研究所。 首先为日本、其次为大中华国家和地区、然后再推广到全世界、为人类造福。
(Google English translation: )
(Tokyo Institute of Rehabilitation Medicine (Association of 100-year-old Research Association for Cancer-Free, Dementia-Free, and Healthy Life) Related Article 3: )
Talking about cancer prevention, dementia prevention, life extension (200-year-old research on healthy life span without cancer and dementia), etc.
The first draft of 2019.1.10, the first revision of 2019.2.18, the second revision of 2020.1.19
Talking about cancer prevention, prevention of Alzheimer’s disease, longevity, etc., including some prevention of cancer recurrence, treatment of cancer and Alzheimer’s, etc.
It may be divided into multiple discussions, gradually increasing and supplementing and modifying. (First talk: 2019-1-10 13:08:47)
In 2017, the probability of Japanese people getting cancer in their lifetime was about 54%. In other words, 54% of Japanese people will have cancer once or more in their lives (about half of Japanese people will get cancer). More than half, a lot!
In 2017, the number of new cancers in Japan was about 1.01 million. It is a pity that the advanced part of modern science can reduce the number of new cancers in Japan to about 100,000 each year. 90% of the people can not develop cancer. In other words ､About 900,000 people can avoid cancer!
In 2017, there were more than 60,000 Japanese who were over 100 years old. But the tallest is only around 115 years old.
The longest life expectancy in the world is a Frenchman who lived to be 122 years old.
If they personally wish, modern science can enable Japan’s current 60,000 centenarians this year, about half of them can live to 157 years old, and up to 214 years old (the advanced part of applied modern science)! And most people can work or live independently most of the time. People in many countries in the world can also live to be 157 years old and up to 214 years old like Japan.
In fact, it is not easy to live to be 100 years old. To live to be 157 to 214 years old, it is somewhat difficult to go to the sky. This requires effort, in terms of funding and manpower. This has a cost, so it may only be available to some people at the beginning. In Japan, I have personally met an old man over a hundred years old. In China and other countries and regions, I have never seen one over a hundred years old. Longevity has family inheritance and family tendencies. My mother has more longevity. My mother is 82 years old, my uncle is 86 years old, my uncle (the son of my grandfather brother) is 95 years old, and my aunt is 97 years old. What is valuable is that they can all live independently. My mother can ride a bicycle, my uncle can drive a battery car, and my uncle can do light farm work. Aunt can do ordinary household work. They all live in the suburbs of Shanghai. I sincerely wish and hope that they will live to be over a hundred years old.
The life span of animals is generally 5 times that of the growth period, and the growth period of humans is 20-25 years, so the life span of humans is about 100-125 years. Based on the generality of modern science and sophisticated knowledge and technology, we have conducted research, analysis, calculation and verification, and we believe that the longest life span of a person can be up to 214 years old. About half of people who have lived over 100 years old can live to about 157 years old ( That is, the median is 157 years). The meaning of longevity alone is still small. What you want is a healthy life span, and you must be able to work with light brain power or light physical power, and at least be able to live independently. We are thinking that outstanding, outstanding scientists, physicians, entrepreneurs, politicians, etc., their very longevity is of great social significance, and human society needs them to continue to contribute. It is really not easy to train them. It took a good time. Decades of time and a lot of money. Therefore, we believe that great scientists such as some Nobel Prize winners, director professors of top universities in the world, academicians of the internationally renowned Academy of Sciences, world-class entrepreneurs and philanthropists, world-class outstanding politicians, etc., If they personally want to, they should try to make them healthy and long-lived, able to engage in light mental and physical work, and live to around 157 years of age or above, so that they can continue to contribute to mankind, society and the world. At the beginning, the number of people should not be too many, and it may be appropriate to control the number of middle-aged and elderly people below 1%.
Healthy life span generally refers to the life span that does not require the help of doctors, nurses, family members, etc., and basic life is self-care. At present, the healthy life expectancy of Japanese men and women is about 10 years shorter than the average life expectancy. The average life expectancy of Japanese men and women is about 84 years old, and the healthy life expectancy is about 10 years shorter, which is about 74 years. In fact, healthy life span is more socially meaningful than average life span. The society and our researchers pay more attention to and pursue a longer healthy life span. With our scientific knowledge and technology, the healthy life expectancy before 100 years is about 3 years shorter than the average life expectancy, and the healthy life expectancy between 100 and 200 years is about 7 years shorter than the average life expectancy.
After graduating from the Medical University in Shanghai, China, I worked as a clinician (outpatient work in the ward) for 5 years, during which I also engaged in electrophysiology and other research. In the medical department of a university graduate school in Japan, I studied and researched on curing diseases, preventing diseases and anti-aging. Have certain knowledge and experience.
In order to achieve a healthy human life expectancy of about 200 years, further research is needed, and some experiments need to be done.
Due to various costs, in a sense, health and longevity are sold for money. In other words, without paying some money and economic costs, there will be no good health and longevity.
There are currently about 7.4 billion people in the world, with a birth rate of about 2% and a death rate of about 1%. There are more births than deaths, and the total population is gradually increasing. Statistics are often inaccurate, and belong to the category of fuzzy mathematics. On average, men and women begin to enter menopause at about 50 years of age, and begin to accelerate aging gradually. They suffer from various diseases and have various unpleasant, painful and painful symptoms of varying degrees and lead to death. The average life expectancy of men and women in the world is about 72 years (84 years for Japanese and 76 years for Chinese). This is a natural law. Middle-aged and elderly diseases such as various cancers, high blood pressure, diabetes, heart disease, stroke, Alzheimer's, etc. gradually occur and worsen. The symptoms gradually become obvious and painful, and sometimes even life is worse than death, painful and unwilling to live until death. The disconnection between basic medical research and clinical application is still serious. From about 50 years old to about 80 years of age when he died, it is difficult to achieve a happy mood, painless and painless, and within his power. It is not easy to achieve health and longevity. It is awaiting the efforts of the medical and academic circles and the investment in the social financial security of the world's countries.
World population and life expectancy: (omitted)
Recently, there are about 1.01 million new cancers in Japan each year, and about one-third of the deaths due to cancer in Japan each year, and about 330,000 deaths. The expenditure on cancer treatment is about 10 trillion yen or more. There are about 6 million new cancers in China every year, and the proportion of deaths due to cancer is about 2/3, about 4 million. (It is also reported that in 2015, there were 4.292 million new cancer cases and 2.814 million cancer deaths in China. The proportion of deaths due to cancer is about 2/3, which is equivalent to 12,000 people suffering from cancer every day and 7,500 people dying from cancer). About 30 million new cancers are born in the world every year. It is a pity that these patients from Japan, China, etc. and even the whole world suffer from cancer and die. As for Alzheimer's disease, the total number of patients in the United States is about 5 million, and the annual medical expenditure is about 200 billion US dollars.
Alzheimer's disease in the United States: (omitted)
The conclusion of our small research team: The research on humans without cancer and the research on Alzheimer's disease has basically been successful about 4 or 5 years ago (except for some additional details). The next step is to apply and Promotion. In addition, a healthy life expectancy over 100 years old with a certain working ability has also been basically studied successfully. In September 2014, our research team proposed a minimum of 2 researchers and a minimum funding of 36 million yen (approximately US$360,000) to research and promote the application: scientific anti-cancer, health and longevity technology and knowledge. It is possible to avoid cancer, have a long healthy life, and can be added, and can take care of not having Alzheimer's disease (some genes overlap), and only 10% of the economic cost of cancer and Alzheimer's treatment can reach more than 90% of people. No cancer, no Alzheimer's disease, and a high healthy life span can save about 90% of a lot of money. However, after 4 or 5 years, the government, consortia, or wealthy people are not willing to spend the 36 million yen (about 360,000 US dollars) for the time being. Japan alone pays more than 10 trillion yen for cancer treatment every year. The United States has spent 200 billion U.S. dollars to treat Alzheimer's disease. The gap is huge!
(The overall goal of the scientific cancer prevention, health and longevity plan: (omitted))
Future research will focus on these 3 items (3 aspects): no cancer, no dementia (several neurodegenerative diseases), healthy life expectancy of 200 years (adequate medical and financial support, up to about 214 years old) , The minimum is about 175 years old), do what you can and implement the promotion and application step by step.
At an appropriate time this year to celebrate and commemorate the 5th anniversary of the success of these 3 studies, the 200-year-old Institute for Healthy Life without Cancer and Dementia was established. Firstly for Japan, secondly for the countries and regions of Greater China, and then spread to the whole world for the benefit of mankind.
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